My 2c is that most dangerous situations can be avoided through paying attention, quick reflexes, experience, training and a bit of forethought. Also being a courier I know dangerous areas (eg. busy high streets) where I have to expect hazards and ride more conservatively, and less dangerous areas where I can let my hair down a bit. When in doubt or in a “new” area err on the side of caution.
In a typical week dispatching there’ll be 5-10 situations (1-2 a day) where an accident could have happened if I wouldn’t have taken evasive action, squealed to a stop, or did something else to prevent something bad from happening, at lightning speed.
The types of dangerous situations that WILL result in accidents are the ones where you simply don’t have time to react. A car shoved in front of you .2 seconds from impact is pretty much inevitable. By the time you have noticed, and started taking evasive action you are already flying over it. Both of my offs happened like this.
You can scan, scan, scan for dangerous situations emerging to avoid them well ahead of time but like Charlie said the odds are stacked against you and one day you will miss something, or it will simply come up on you so fast there is nothing you can do buth brace, and pray.
Being bikers means that we get back on the horse and accept the risk – you wits and a bit of care will keep you safe 99% of the time but there is that 1% you can’t do nothing against. Somebody not seeing you, going without indicating, etc. creating a situation you can’t recover from because you simply don’t have time to react. In German we called it the “Restrisiko” – the bit of risk that is always left and that no amount of training, skill and experience can save you from. Just try to keep it as small as you can.
Even the most experienced police rider can get knocked off by an idiot not seeing him. This is a risk every one of us takes (hopefully conciously) everytime we swing our leg over our bike and push the starter button. You have to be crazy to some degree to accept it and all of us do or we wouldn’t be bikers. It’s also what makes the biker community as small, and as great to be a part of, as it is. If biking was totally safe every Tom Dick & Harry would be at it and owning a bike would be no different from owning a car… but I’m getting philosophical here now.
The bottom line is cover your ass as good as you can, keep your skills sharp, don’t take any stupid risks and beware of false confindence… and be aware that even then some tw@t can “'ave you off the bike”, and still ride without being frozen up in fear (because that will make matters worse when it matters).
For my part, I’ve learned my lesson, I’ve paid (and will be paying) a substantial price, but it’s not enough to steer me away from biking. I f**king love being on a bike, and no amount of road rash is ever going to change that. OK, I’ll get off my soap box now